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Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Tropical Storm Nadine still alive

Rain expected on La Gomera

Tropical storm Nadine is one of the longest-lived weather systems in the Atlantic, and is continuing to head slowly away from the Canary Islands.
A  separate low pressure system that Nadine helped to spawn a few days ago is influencing the weather negatively over much of northern Europe and is expected to be situated over the British Channel by Thursday:
The associated cold front could just reach as far as the Canary Islands and should bring us some rain at last. Even some prolonged and/or heavier downpours with moderate winds and stronger gusts are possible. The low over western Africa did already bring a little badly needed rain in some parts of the Canaries, but if you're planning your holidays let me assure you that here it never rains for long and the little rain we get is warm
The HIRLAM model for Thursday looks like this:
Finally the latest from the NHC:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
500 AM AST TUE SEP 25 2012
...NADINE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 29.6W
ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NADINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.6 WEST. NADINE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.



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